The monsoon is retreating from parts of northwest India, but active cyclonic conditions in central and western India are causing heavy rainfall, slowing its withdrawal.
India’s monsoon is extending into late October, impacting kharif crops with 7% above-normal rainfall. Soybean and pulses, especially in Madhya Pradesh, are damaged. La Niña and climate change are key factors.
The monsoon season has arrived in India, but farmers are still waiting for rain. Of the 718 districts in the country, 511 districts, which add up to 71%, have presented a rainfall deficit during the month of June.
The monsoons in India, the lifeblood of the nation's agrarian economy, have become increasingly unpredictable in recent years. This unpredictability is attributed to the combined effects of climate change and pollution.
The analysis indicates that the continued progress of El Niño is likely to affect the southeast monsoon, with below-average rainfall forecast for many parts of India from June to September.
Skymet, a weather forecasting agency, has predicted that the monsoon from June to September will be "below normal", which could negatively affect agriculture in India.