When monsoon will start withdrawing in your state, check it out?

The monsoon is retreating from parts of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Punjab, and Haryana, but remains active over central and western India. Weather officials expect the withdrawal of the monsoon from the country to slow down due to ongoing weather conditions.

Despite the official start of monsoon withdrawal, heavy rainfall continues in several parts of the country. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) warned of isolated heavy to extremely heavy rainfall in Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Sikkim until Friday.

The IMD forecasts increased rainfall over the Western Himalayan region and central, east, and northeast India in the next few days.

M. Mohapatra, Director General of IMD, said the current monsoon activity is due to a large cyclonic circulation across central India. “This system is responsible for the heavy to extremely heavy rainfall over western India. The monsoon withdrawal won’t progress until this system weakens, and we’ll monitor for new monsoonal systems,” Mohapatra said.

The monsoon typically withdraws on September 17 and completely leaves by October 15. A cyclonic circulation over north Madhya Maharashtra extends up to the middle tropospheric level.

State-wise monsoon withdrawal timeline

Here’s the IMD’s predicted monsoon withdrawal timeline for various states:

1. Maharashtra: The monsoon is expected to begin withdrawing from Maharashtra around October 5. As the withdrawal date approaches, the state has experienced intense rains. Several areas, including Mumbai and Pune, are severely waterlogged.

2. Telangana: The monsoon withdrawal in Telangana is likely to begin after October 10. The IMD has indicated thundershowers in most parts of the state between October 3 and 10, before the retreat. According to Dr. A. Shravani, an IMD scientist in Hyderabad, the withdrawal has already started in northern India and will reach Telangana in two to three weeks.

3. Central and Eastern India: Heavy rainfall is predicted for Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh until September 27. In the east, heavy rains are likely in Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, West Bengal, Sikkim, Jharkhand, and Bihar until September 29, delaying the withdrawal process.

Since the monsoon season began on June 1, India has recorded 5% more rainfall than average. Central India and the southern peninsula have seen a 16% surplus, northwest India has experienced 4% more rain than normal, while east and northeast India have faced a 17% shortfall.

The IMD’s extended forecast indicates that, during the week of September 26 to October 2, most of India—except southern peninsular regions—will receive normal to above-normal rainfall. As conditions improve, the monsoon may withdraw from more parts of northwest India in the second half of the week.

From October 3 to 9, above-normal rainfall is expected in central, east, and northeast India. Monsoon withdrawal is likely in more areas of northwest and central India.

How IMD declare monsoon withdrawal?

The IMD officially declares the southwest monsoon withdrawal after five consecutive dry days in an area, combined with an anticyclonic wind pattern and reduced atmospheric moisture. Although withdrawal has begun in some regions, continued rainfall will delay the complete retreat of the monsoon.

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