The monsoons in India, the lifeblood of the nation's agrarian economy, have become increasingly unpredictable in recent years. This unpredictability is attributed to the combined effects of climate change and pollution.
The analysis indicates that the continued progress of El Niño is likely to affect the southeast monsoon, with below-average rainfall forecast for many parts of India from June to September.
Skymet, a weather forecasting agency, has predicted that the monsoon from June to September will be "below normal", which could negatively affect agriculture in India.