The IMD reports the withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon and the onset of the Northeast Monsoon. A low-pressure area is expected to form over the Bay of Bengal, leading to scattered rainfall across various regions.
Kerala's southwest monsoon arrived early but disappointed with a significant rainfall deficit, following a long-term drying trend due to El Niño conditions.
The monsoons in India, the lifeblood of the nation's agrarian economy, have become increasingly unpredictable in recent years. This unpredictability is attributed to the combined effects of climate change and pollution.
The analysis indicates that the continued progress of El Niño is likely to affect the southeast monsoon, with below-average rainfall forecast for many parts of India from June to September.