Atlantic hurricanes are now more than twice as likely to intensify rapidly due to sea surface warming, according to the paper, “Observed increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone peak intensification rates” published Thursday in Scientific Reports.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has revised its forecast for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, and now forecasts an above-normal level of tropical cyclone activity.

Researchers at the University of Arizona, who have successfully forecast hurricane activity since 2014, the 2023 hurricane season is expected to be very active after two relatively quiet years.