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Madhya Pradesh has not experienced severe cold this winter, with temperatures mostly remaining above normal. Meteorologists predict a slight drop in temperature in the first week of February due to two western disturbances, mainly affecting Rajasthan and northwestern India, with minimal impact on Madhya Pradesh.
| Date/Period | Weather Condition | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Next 2 Days | Temperature Rising | Mercury to rise; warm days and cool nights |
| February 1 | Cloudy in Some Areas | Clouds likely in Gwalior-Chambal and Ujjain |
| First Week of Feb | Mild Cold | Temperature may drop to 5-8°C but not severe |
| Rain Chances | Low | Weak western disturbances, minimal effect on MP |
| Hottest City (Jan 30) | Seoni | 33°C |
| Other High Temps | Khandwa (32.1°C), Mandla (32°C), Khargone, Ratlam, Sagar (31°C) | |
| Night Temperature | Rising | Seoni, Narmadapuram, Dhar, and Chhindwara above 15°C |
Warm January in Indore
Indore experienced an unusually warm January this year. The cold was felt only on three days—January 7, 12, and 13—when both day and night temperatures dropped significantly. During these days, the daytime temperature was 7 degrees below normal, while the nighttime temperature fell 4 degrees below normal.
For the rest of the month, the cold remained weak, and after January 17, temperatures stayed above normal. Over the past ten days, the weather in Indore has been changing frequently. On Wednesday, the maximum temperature reached 30.6°C, making the day feel hot.
However, on Thursday, a slight drop in temperature was recorded. The daytime temperature fell by 2.3 degrees to 28.3°C, still 1 degree above normal, while the night temperature dipped slightly to 14.2°C, 3 degrees above normal.
No major cold wave expected
Meteorologist V.S. Yadav said two western disturbances will become active in the next four days. However, their effect on Madhya Pradesh will be limited, and no major temperature drop is expected. The disturbances will mainly impact Rajasthan, with only mild cold in some parts.
Historic weather records for MP cities in January
| City | Coldest Temp Recorded | Hottest Temp Recorded | Max 24-Hour Rainfall | Max Monthly Rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhopal | 0.6°C (Jan 18, 1935) | 33°C (Jan 26, 2009) | 2 inches (Jan 6, 2004) | 3.8 inches (Jan 1948) |
| Indore | -1.1°C (Jan 16, 1935) | 33.9°C (Jan 27, 1990) | 3 inches (Jan 6, 1920) | 4 inches (1920) |
| Jabalpur | 1.1°C (Jan 7, 1946) | 33.4°C (Jan 7, 1973) | 2.5 inches (Jan 24, 1919) | 8 inches (1919) |
| Gwalior | -1.1°C (Jan 24, 1954) | 1.9°C (2018), 2.4°C (2019) | 2.1 inches (Jan 8, 1926) | 3.1 inches (1948) |
| Ujjain | 0°C (Jan 22, 1962) | 2-5.8°C in last 10 years | 1.25 inches (Jan 11, 1987) | 2.2 inches (1994) |
Currently, a western disturbance is active as a cyclonic circulation over eastern Afghanistan and neighboring areas, while another system is over western Rajasthan. Jet stream winds are blowing at 268 km/h at 12.6 km altitude in northeast India, though this will have little impact on Madhya Pradesh.
As January ends, the cold has almost disappeared in Indore, with comfortable temperatures. The chill is felt only during late-night and early-morning hours. A slight dip in temperature is expected in early February, but harsh winter conditions are unlikely.
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