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The Meteorological Department has issued a heavy rain alert for ten districts in eastern Madhya Pradesh on Monday. The warning covers Jabalpur, Rewa, and parts of Sagar division. The rainfall is linked to trough activity that will affect the region for the next two days.
Bhopal, Indore, and Ujjain will stay dry with strong sunshine during this period.
“Many districts will see heavy rain for the next three days. Rain activity will pick up after August 13,” said Arun Sharma, scientist at the Meteorological Department. He added that the second fortnight of August is expected to bring sustained downpours across the state.
The districts on high alert include Panna, Satna, Rewa, Mauganj, Sidhi, Maihar, Katni, Jabalpur, Seoni, and Balaghat. Heavy rain is also forecast for these areas on August 12.
A low-pressure area is set to develop in the Bay of Bengal on August 13. This system is likely to trigger heavy rain across Madhya Pradesh, including the Malwa and Nimar regions. Southern parts of the state are expected to get good rain starting August 15.
In terms of rainfall so far, eastern divisions such as Jabalpur, Sagar, Shahdol, and Rewa have received 37% more rain than average. Western divisions including Bhopal, Indore, Ujjain, Gwalior, Chambal, and Narmadapuram have seen 25% above-average rainfall.
Some districts have already surpassed their seasonal quotas. Guna has recorded 45.8 inches, the highest in the state. Niwari follows closely with 45.1 inches, Mandla and Tikamgarh at 44 inches, and Ashoknagar at 42 inches.
While rainfall has been abundant in many areas, parts of Indore and Ujjain divisions remain below expectations. Officials believe the upcoming weather systems will help close the gap.
Meteorological Centre scientist Abhijit Chakraborty explained the current patterns. “The monsoon trough extends from Punjab to Arunachal Pradesh. Cyclonic circulations are present over Uttar Pradesh and the northeast Arabian Sea. A new low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal will further enhance rainfall from August 13.”
Ajay Shukla, another weather expert, confirmed moderate rainfall for Rewa, Shahdol, Sagar, and Jabalpur divisions over the next two days. “Some areas will get light showers, but heavier spells will return after the low-pressure system develops,” he said.
Forecast for key cities over the next 24 hours:
City | Temperature (°C) | Forecast |
---|---|---|
Jabalpur | 28 | Heavy rain |
Rewa | 29 | Heavy rain |
Panna | 28 | Heavy rain |
Satna | 29 | Heavy rain |
Sidhi | 28 | Heavy rain |
Maihar | 28 | Heavy rain |
Katni | 28 | Heavy rain |
Seoni | 27 | Heavy rain |
Balaghat | 27 | Heavy rain |
Bhopal | 31 | Sunny |
Indore | 30 | Sunny |
Ujjain | 30 | Sunny |
If the predictions hold, the latter half of August could see enough rainfall to meet or exceed the state’s seasonal target. That would mark a strong end to a monsoon season that has already brought above-average rain to most of Madhya Pradesh.
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