The 2024 Lok Sabha election came, and one man’s predictions stood out for their accuracy. Aadesh Rawal, a journalist and YouTuber, had forecasted the BJP’s 240 seats well before the final votes were tallied.
In an India TV video, Rawal revealed his projection process. He said, “In a previous order from Rao ji, we listed all the states. We completed and distributed copies. Both Sab and Deepak had told their names. Rawal ji’s assessment was the order. BJP 250, NDA 275.”
सारे Exit poll आज ग़लत साबित हुए है।
मैंने @indiatvnews के दो कार्यक्रम में लिखित में दिया था कि बीजेपी 240 सीट पर आएगी।
देख लीजिए👇 pic.twitter.com/C2YugJMNlr— Aadesh Rawal (@AadeshRawal) June 4, 2024
Who is Aadesh Rawal?
Aadesh Rawal, a journalist with a knack for political analysis and predicting election outcomes, started in Haryana and worked for TV channels and digital platforms before becoming a prominent YouTuber.
Rawal honed his correspondent skills with a journalism diploma from IMCA, New Delhi. He covered major political events like the Maharashtra government formation, the Madhya Pradesh political split, Sachin Pilot’s rebellion in Rajasthan, and Priyanka Gandhi’s entry into politics.
Rawal is a trusted voice in election analysis due to his expertise in deciphering political trends and understanding the electorate. His ability to forecast the BJP’s tally of 240 seats has solidified his position as a psephologist.
Aadesh Rawal’s Predictions of Election
In the video, Rawal provided insights into his thought process, revealing the considerations that went into his projections. “Then BJP 240, BJP 240, do it, share market, country brother share market is full of half an hour and BJP means I am in the bottom, so I believe that 104 BJP and NDA about 30 to 35 seats and the strongest BJP will come out in this,” he explained.
Rawal’s analysis delved into state-wise performances, assessing potential losses and gains for the BJP in key states like Rajasthan, Haryana, and Delhi. He evaluated the party’s previous performance, considering the peak it had reached in Bihar, Maharashtra, and Karnataka during the 2019 elections.
“The answer I get is 20 lakh 45 maximum, calculated state-wise. If the Congress party doesn’t exceed 5013 54, it’s fine. If forty seats increase, they can be reduced to less than 3. If they get about 15 seats in Himachal, Punjab, Haryana and Delhi, it’s good. So they revised the vision assessment after the run, 250, BJP’s order was given by the government,” Rawal elaborated, shedding light on his calculations and projections.
As the final results poured in, Rawal’s predictions were validated, solidifying his reputation as a psephologist with an extraordinary ability to decipher election dynamics.
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