Above-normal temperatures, more cold waves in Central India

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts above-normal temperatures across most of India during the winter months of January to March 2025. Some regions may experience colder conditions, but the overall trend points to a warmer winter.

IMD predicts above-normal minimum temperatures in many parts of the country, excluding East, North-West, and North-Central India, where temperatures are expected to dip below normal. These colder pockets are exceptions to the broader warming trend.

Similarly, maximum temperatures are expected to rise above normal in most regions, bringing warmer winter days. However, parts of Northwest, Central, and South Peninsula may see below-normal maximum temperatures, reflecting some variability.

Despite the warming trend, certain regions will face unique conditions. Central India is forecast to experience an increase in cold wave days during January, particularly in its western and northern parts. This localised cold wave activity contrasts with the general rise in temperatures elsewhere.

Above-normal temperatures could significantly affect agriculture, water availability, and energy consumption. Warmer nights and days might impact crop growth cycles, especially in regions dependent on cool-weather crops. Increased warmth could reduce heating needs in northern states, balancing energy demands.

IMD attributes these temperature patterns partly to neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions in the Pacific Ocean. La Niña conditions, likely to dominate the season, often influence Indian winters. Additionally, above-average sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean are shaping the country’s weather.

With above-normal temperatures likely this season, citizens should prepare for an atypical winter. While extreme cold may still occur in some regions, the overall trend suggests a warmer winter, impacting various aspects of life across India.

IMD advises residents to stay informed about local forecasts and take necessary measures to adapt to changing weather conditions.

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