A war between Pakistan and India, even on a limited scale, would have catastrophic consequences, killing two billion people worldwide and disrupting the global food supply system, a study warns.
A nuclear conflict involving less than 3 per cent of the world's reserves could kill a third of the world's population in two years, according to a new international study led by scientists at Rutgers University. A larger nuclear conflict between Russia and the US could kill three-quarters of the world's population in the same time frame, according to research published Monday in Nature Food.
"It's really a warning that any use of nuclear weapons could be a catastrophe for the world," said climate scientist and study author Alan Robock, a distinguished professor in the Rutgers Department of Environmental Sciences.
Scientists have analyzed three possibilities in terms of countries with nuclear capabilities. These countries have the military capacity to cause suffering and death around the world.
Scientists have come to know that in addition to the deaths caused by the nuclear explosions themselves, such wars will affect the global climate and lead to famine.
The scientists considered a hypothetical situation in which a war broke out between India and Pakistan and both hit each other's urban centers with nuclear weapons of one hundred to two hundred and fifty kilotons.
A study by researchers at Rutgers University found that 12.7 million people in South Asia alone would die from explosions, fires and radiation.
According to Alan Roebuck, a scientist and author of the study from the Department of Environmental Sciences at Rutgers University: "It's really a warning that any use of nuclear weapons could be catastrophic for the world."
Researchers have found that these wars will reduce crop yields around the world because the nuclear explosions will trigger firestorms that release carbon into the atmosphere that will cause the sun to burn out. The light does not reach the earth.
Thanks to this research, scientists have calculated for the first time the magnitude of death from famine and lack of sunlight reaching the earth.
The number of deaths from these causes will be much higher than the number of deaths from nuclear explosions.
Perhaps the nuclear war between Pakistan and India during the decades-long Kashmir dispute will put an estimated 37 million tons of carbon into the atmosphere, which will reduce the temperature of the entire planet by more than five degrees Celsius. Ga that was the last ice age.
Research shows that this temperature would reduce the production of major crops and fisheries by up to 42%.
The United States and Russia own 90% of the world's weapons. A major war between them would kill approximately five billion people.
However, according to the study, none of the other nine nuclear-armed countries, including China, North Korea, France, Israel and the United Kingdom, have enough destructive capabilities at their fingertips to cause enormous suffering and death around the world. , covering the sky. High carbon content, can cause temperature drops and famine.
Destruction of the global food supply system within five years of war, no matter how small, would reduce food production worldwide by an average of seven per cent. It would be the biggest irregularity ever recorded.
The research used "state-of-the-art climate, crop and fishery models" to calculate how the world's food availability might change in the event of different types of nuclear war.
The investigation comes months after UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that "the unimaginable possibility of nuclear war has resurfaced."
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