Covid cases may come in third wave, close to 6 lakh daily: Study

Ground Report | New Delhi: Covid cases may come; The third wave of Coronavirus in the country can be even more dangerous. If vaccination is not done properly, then up to 6 lakh cases can also come daily.  

According to a study by the National Institute of Disaster Management, if 10 million people are vaccinated every day, then the cases of corona will be less. NIDM has advised that in view of the way people died during the second wave of Covid, there is a need to be more cautious this time. 

In the second wave, about two and a half lakh people lost their lives. Therefore, such a situation does not come again, so there is a need to save especially the vulnerable people and more and more vaccination will have to be emphasized.

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The expert panel of the Ministry of Home Affairs has said that there may be a third wave between September-October, meanwhile, there is a need to give more emphasis on the health of children. The report also emphasizes giving priority to critically ill and disabled children.

The experts consulted by NIDM during the preparation of the report were A.K. Sengar, Inspector General, National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) and Dr. Amit Murari, Commandant, NDRF, Dr. Anurag Agarwal, Director, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research- Institute of Genomics and Integrated Biology (CSIR-IGIB), Dr. M.C. Mishra, Former Director, AIIMS, Dr. Gagandeep Kang, Professor, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Dr. Jyoti Bindal, Vice-Chancellor, Sri Aurobindo University Indore, and Dr. Debasis Das, Chief Scientist, CSIR-IGIB.

Covid cases may come in third wave

The report said that strengthening the medical infrastructure "requires immediate attention when the country sees the third wave".

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“Public medical infrastructure is weak, there is a huge shortage of qualified medical staff especially for children, then there is a huge gap between rural and urban India. Vaccine rollout (considered the only way out) has also been slow compared to other countries (India's vaccination rate of 7.6 percent compared to US's 50 percent). It is the full responsibility of the government to provide even more safety and security to its citizens during this pandemic…” it added.

The report also raised concerns over the low vaccination coverage among women in the country. “… the ratio of vaccine coverage… 856 doses to females to per 1,000 doses to males, does not match India’s current sex ratio of 924 females per 1,000 males. India's largest state, Uttar Pradesh, has 42 percent immunization of women, West Bengal has 44 percent female coverage, Dadra and Nagar Haveli (the predominantly rural union territory) has 30 percent. Only a few states – Kerala and Andhra Pradesh – have more vaccine coverage for women than men,” it says. "Rural women have been placed even more modestly in terms of vaccination."

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